G1 Rookie Rebel winner Fernando Cazz is expected to face a stern test from the promising Indy Matilda at The Meadows tonight.

Group finalists Keep It Black, Earn The Answers and Handsome Rhino should provide a fantastic battle, while recent G1 Hume Cup runner-up Mepunga Warrior is in action.

Mr. Neo is aiming to secure his fifth win in his last six starts, while Speed Star 525m finalist Paddy Wants Pats is favoured to triumph.

G3 Northern Districts Cup finalist Security Man is the standout chaser at Warragul tonight.

Today’s Racing

Geelong: 9:07am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warragul: 5:50pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

The Meadows: 6:57pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

SECURITY MAN

Trainer: Colleen Mason
? Warragul ? Race 5
? Box 6 ? 400m ⏱ 6:53pm

Claim to fame:
– G3 North Districts Cup finalist
– Won 6 of last 8

TAB fixed odds: $1.40

The Watchdog says: Yes

MEPUNGA WARRIOR

Trainer: Jeff Britton
? The Meadows ? Race 4
? Box 8 ? 725m ⏱ 7:58pm

Claim to fame:
– 2nd Group 1 Hume Cup
– 68% top-three from 48 starts

TAB fixed odds: $1.45

The Watchdog says: Yes

FERNANDO CAZZ

Trainer: Kayla Cottrell
? The Meadows ? Race 8
? Box 6 ? 600m ⏱ 9:20pm

Claim to fame:
– 1st Group 1 Rookie Rebel
– 34.04 PB at The Meadows

TAB fixed odds: $3.10

The Watchdog says: No

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Saturday 27 November

? $3 Multi

Second ?: Win – HIGH JEWEL
? Warragul ? Race 4 ? Box 4 ? 460m ⏱ 6:35pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539224/race/4

Third ?: Place – GYPSY TOOWOOMBA
? The Meadows ? Race 1 ? Box 1 ? 525m ⏱ 6:57pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539223/race/1

Third ?: Place – EXTERNAL LINK
? The Meadows ? Race 2 ? Box 6 ? 525m ⏱ 7:19pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.40 Place
Form ?https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539223/race/2

The Watchdog says ? : HIGH JEWEL (4) is a genuine rocket, and she can atone for a couple of costly runs of late. The powerful GYPSY TOOWOOMBA (1) continues to impress and from the good draw, she can settle a little closer to the pace than normal and a top-three finish looks likely. EXTERNAL LINK (6) will get back early but there is plenty of pace drawn underneath and with the leading division expected to bump at the bend, he should get a nice run through, and he will really charge to the line.

Multi price: $4.37

? $3 Win – KEEP IT BLACK
? The Meadows ? Race 7 ? Box 1 ? 525m ⏱ 9:00pm
TAB fixed odds: $3.10 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539223/race/7

The Watchdog says ? : He turned in a dominant performance at Geelong last time and a similar performance is expected tonight. He is normally very reliable at box rise and from the red alley, he should be able to hold the top through the turn. There are a couple of handy ones engaged tonight, however if he can replicate his sizzling 29.86sec PB run, they will have a hard time reeling him in.

? $4 Place – GREYSYND SHOCK

? Must Watch Race ?

Mixed Grade 4/5

? The Meadows ? Race 8
? Box 1 ? 600m ⏱ 9:20pm

TAB fixed odds: $2.50 Place

The Watchdog says ?:  GREYSYND SHOCK (1) runs into a couple of good ones in INDY MATILDA (2) and FERNANDO CAZZ (6), however he turned in a stellar performance when placed here last Saturday night.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:
INDY MATILDA (2) carved out a ridiculous 29.64sec win here on Topgun night and she makes her much anticipated middle-distance debut. She has given every indication that this journey will suit and with a clear run early, she will take a power of beating. FERNANDO CAZZ (6) is a Group 1 winner over this journey and with a clean getaway, she will test ‘Matilda’ throughout. She has been ultra-impressive since resuming and this is her ideal distance range, so it should be a keenly contested event.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539223/race/8

The Watchdog’s selections: 2 – 1 – 6 – 3

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Friday 26 November: $0 (-100%)
Thursday 25 November: $0 (-100%)
Wednesday 24 November: $6.60 (-34%)
Tuesday 23 November: $8.20 (-18%)
Monday 22 November: $6.90 (-31%)
Sunday 21 November: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 20 November: $7.80 (-22%)

Past 7 days: $29.50 for $70 invested (-58%)
Past 14 days: $122.19 for $140 invested (-13%)
Past 28 days: $282.91 for $280 invested (+1%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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