G3 The Ambrosoli finalist Shima Jake will be hoping for a change of fortune in a Grade 5 460m race at Geelong tonight after two luckless runs since resuming earlier this month.

Outlaw Ethics, Indy Lolly – victorious in four of her last five starts – and Zeeba’s Legacy will provide stiff opposition.

In-form Quintana Bale v dual G2 placed Fortuna Bale will be a great clash, while dual G2 country cup winner Yozo Bale highlights a Mixed 4/5 400m race.

Sandra’s Sticker, Highly Explosive and So Predictable are dropping back in class following their runs in heats of the Group 1 Bold Trease at Sandown Park last Friday night.

The Meadows 29.93sec winner Dynamic Prince is the standout chaser at Warrnambool this evening.

Today’s Racing

Shepparton: 11:24am start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Cranbourne: 3:22pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warrnambool: 6:12pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Geelong: 7:04pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

DYNAMIC PRINCE

Trainer: Peter Presutto
? Warrnambool ? Race 8
? Box 3 ? 450m ⏱ 8:22pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 6 from 12
– 29.93 PB at The Meadows

TAB fixed odds: $2.10

The Watchdog says: Yes

QUINTANA BALE

Trainer: Andrea Dailly
? Geelong ? Race 8
? Box 4 ? 460m ⏱ 9:28pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 3 of last 4
– 75% top-three from 36 starts

TAB fixed odds: $3

The Watchdog says: Yes

YOZO BALE

Trainer: Correy Grenfell
? Geelong ? Race 9
? Box 2 ? 400m ⏱ 9:49pm 

Claim to fame:
– Dual Group 2 winner
– 64% top-two from 75 starts

TAB fixed odds: $3

The Watchdog says: Yes

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Thursday 25 November

? $1 Trifecta – 3 / 4 / 1,2,6,8 (25%)
? $1 Trifecta – 3 / 1,2,6,8 / 4 (25%)
? Geelong ? Race 3 ? 460m ⏱ 7:43pm
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539255/race/3

The Watchdog says ? : GEORGE’S FANCY (3) is an absolute rocket and with an ounce of luck early, she will be scoring. ZIPPY VOLKSWAGON (4) is a strong type and with the field expected to bunch behind the top elect, he should be able to run into second or third.

? $5 Win – ENAMOURED
? Warrnambool ? Race 7 ? Box 8 ? 450m ⏱ 8:07pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.25 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539219/race/7

The Watchdog says ? : ENAMOURED (8) has been ultra-impressive in her two runs to date and she should have enough pace to cross and lead at the bend. She takes on the much improved ASTON MARVEL (3), however he will be giving our selection a decent head start and that could be the difference.

? $2 Multi

First ?: Win – TOOLONG TIGER
? Warrnambool ? Race 10 ? Box 8 ? 390m ⏱ 8:52pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.60 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539219/race/10

Second ?: Place – ASTON PIRATE
? Warrnambool ? Race 11 ? Box 3 ? 390m ⏱ 9:07pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.40 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539219/race/11

The Watchdog says ? : TOOLONG TIGER (8) has some impressive wins to his credit and he looks very well graded. With a good getaway, he can assume control quicky and score. ASTON PIRATE (3) is better than his form reads and with the inside two runners expected to hold the lead through the bend, he should be able to follow them through and he will be strong in the run to the line.

Multi price: $6.24

? $1 Exacta – 4,8 / 1,4,8 (25%)

? Must Watch Race ?

Grade 5

? Geelong ? Race 7
? 460m ⏱ 9:04pm

The Watchdog says ?: INDY LOLLY (4) should be able to pounce on the early lead and give a great sight, however she will need to be at her best to hold off SHIMA JAKE (8). OUTLAW ETHICS (1) has been included for second from the good draw.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:
Great contest and the in-form INDY LOLLY (4) is expected to lead them a merry dance. She has gone to another level in recent weeks at Ballarat with some blistering wins, however this is going to be her toughest test. SHIMA JAKE (8) has the class edge, and he will be looking to atone for some luckless runs since resuming. He showed enormous potential in his first preparation, and we will see the best of him when he steps up to 500m again. ZEEBA’S LEGACY (7) lit up Ballarat in late October and he can run a big race if he steps on terms, while former New South Wales speedster OUTLAW ETHICS (1) must be respected.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539255/race/7

The Watchdog’s selections: 8 – 1 – 4 – 7

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Wednesday 24 November: $6.60 (-34%)
Tuesday 23 November: $8.20 (-18%)
Monday 22 November: $6.90 (-31%)
Sunday 21 November: $0 (-100%)
Saturday 20 November: $7.80 (-22%)
Friday 19 November: $9 (-10%)
Thursday 18 November: $16 (+60%)

Past 7 days: $54.50 for $70 invested (-22%)
Past 14 days: $140.04 for $140 invested (Even)
Past 28 days: $302.51 for $280 invested (+8%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly