Indy Lolly is looking to extend her winning streak to five races at Geelong tonight, but she will face stiff opposition from Weblec Gem, Unathi Bale and El Cazador in a heat of the G3 Provincial Plate (520m).

The highly promising Dynamic Prince lines up in another heat of the G3 Provincial Plate, while dual G2 Ballarat Cup placegetter Fortuna Bale and G2 Healesville Cup placegetter Hill Top Jonah are also in action at Geelong this evening.

Fabriola Ximenez and Specialty highlight the Restricted Win 545m final at Ballarat tonight, while Angus Rhode v Master Avenger should be a terrific clash in a Mixed 4/5 450m race.

Today’s Racing

Shepparton: 12:04pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Warragul: 2:52pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Ballarat: 6:07pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Geelong: 7:07pm start
Form     Tips     Key stats

Today’s Drawcards

ANGUS RHODE

Trainer: Norman McCullagh
? Ballarat ? Race 8
? Box 4 ? 450m ⏱ 8:25pm

Claim to fame:
– Won 13 from 28
– Won last 3 and 4 of 5

TAB fixed odds: $2.40

The Watchdog says: Yes

FORTUNA BALE

Trainer: Mark Delbridge
? Geelong ? Race 7
? Box 4 ? 460m ⏱ 9:19pm

Claim to fame:
– 2nd Group 2 Ballarat Cup
– Won 30 from 76

TAB fixed odds: $3.10

The Watchdog says: No

HILL TOP JONAH

Trainer: David Geall
? Geelong ? Race 11
? Box 6 ? 400m ⏱ 10:46pm 

Claim to fame:
– 3rd Group 2 Healesville Cup
– Won 16 from 36

TAB fixed odds: $1.75

The Watchdog says: No

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Thursday 18 November

? $2 Multi

First ?: Win – QUARTER BALE
? Geelong ? Race 3 ? Box 8 ? 460m ⏱ 7:52pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.60 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539257/race/3

Second ?: Win – KILLASHANDRA
? Ballarat ? Race 7 ? Box 1 ? 450m ⏱ 8:04pm
TAB fixed odds: $3.20 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539239/race/7

The Watchdog says ? : QUARTER BALE (8) has turned in some great performances to date and from the good draw he will get every chance to balance up and put himself into contention. KILLASHANDRA (1) is far better than his form indicates, and he should be able to fire through and assume control early on. He has some quick wins to his credit, so if he does hold the top, they will have a hard time reeling him in.

Multi price: $8.32

? $3 Win – ANGUS RHODE
? Ballarat ? Race 8 ? Box 4 ? 450m ⏱ 8:25pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.40 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539239/race/8

The Watchdog says ? : Strong race but ANGUS RHODE (4) has been racing with tremendous confidence and he is armed with blistering early speed. His past three wins over 390m have been electric and with a clear passage he should be able to go around the 25.10sec mark and that should be enough to see him score.

? $2 Place – EMANI BALE
? Geelong ? Race 6 ? Box 7 ? 520m ⏱ 8:52pm
TAB fixed odds: $4.40 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539257/race/6

The Watchdog says ? : I haven’t included her in my top four as I believe there are better winning chances, however I think this race will be run to suit her and she can charge into the placings. There is plenty of early speed engaged and I’m expecting there to be some bunching up front, so she should be able to tack on mid race and be there to pounce as they turn for home.

? $3 Win – EL CAZADOR

?Must Watch Race ?

Provincial Plate Heat 4

? Geelong ? Race 8
? Box 8 ? 520m ⏱ 9:40pm

TAB fixed odds: $3.10 Win

The Watchdog says ?: EL CAZADOR (8) has a great record over this track and distance and if he can head to the back in the top five, he should make his presence felt at the business end.

‘Must Watch Race’ Preview ?:
INDY LOLLY (1) has gone to another level in recent weeks, and she is expected to lead for a long way, however she is a serious doubt to run the journey. EL CAZADOR (8) has turned in some monster performances of late and he should be suited by the abundance of early pace in this event. GYPSY TOOWOOMBA (2) is far better than her form indicates, and she may be the value runner. She can really charge to the line and is expected to get a dream run through behind INDY LOLLY.

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666539257/race/8

The Watchdog’s selections: 8 – 2 – 3 – 4

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Wednesday 17 November: $0 (-100%)
Tuesday 16 November: $6.30 (-37%)
Monday 15 November: $29.45 (+195%)
Sunday 14 November: $22.74 (+127%)
Saturday 13 November: $9.20 (-8%)
Friday 12 November: $4 (-60%)
Thursday 11 November: $13.85 (+39%)

Past 7 days: $85.54 for $70 invested (+22%)
Past 14 days: $183.96 for $140 invested (+31%)
Past 28 days: $355.67 for $280 invested (+27%)

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

October 2021: $311.40 for $310 (Even)
September 2021: $220.69 for $300 (-26%)
August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

*Please gamble responsibly