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  • Tuesday, 21 Sep, 2021,
  • by @WatchDogRacing

Daily Mail: Geall’s ‘King’ to reign at Horsham

David Geall will be looking to continue his phenomenal run of success on provincial tracks when promising sprinter King Of Glory heads to Horsham on Tuesday afternoon for The Watchdog’s Must Watch race of the day.

King Of Glory (7 from 18) has drawn box eight in a ‘hot’ Grade 5 final, where he’ll face off against a talented trio in Kiss Your Lips (13 from 43), Pirates Patch (26 wins – 5 from 9 Box 2) and the in-form Handsome Jack (16 from 50 – 4 of past 6 – 5 from 11 Box 7).

Another standout match-up at Horsham will pit Crackerjack Zave (11 from 36 – 4 from 9 Trk/Dst) against the talented track specialist Braemar Prince (12 from 31 – 4 from 5 Trk/Dst).

The star attraction at Warragul is classy speedster Sweet Petit (11 from 29 – 4 of past 5), with Daryl Holmes’ Pink Diamond Princess series winner set to continue her sparkling run of recent form.

Other Warragul standouts include Sneaky Mojo (15 from 40 – 7 of past 10 – 6 from 14 Trk/Dst) and Dr. Madison (12 from 38 – 2 of past 3), while a couple of youngster talents well worth watching are Nova’s Way (5 from 7 – 2 from 2 Box 8) and Queen Kathleen (4 of 11 – past 3).

Today’s action starts at Healesville, with the meeting headlined by a clash between course stars Anita Sonic Love (7 from 16 – 4 from 4 Trk/Dst) and Soda Diamond (11 from 20 – 5 from 7 Trk/Dst – 4 from 7 Box 4).

Here’s an extensive analysis of today’s Must Watch Race, and be sure to scroll down further for ? The Watchdog’s $10 spend

? MUST-WATCH RACE: Horsham Doors & Glass Grade 5 Final

KISS YOUR LIPS  ? PIRATES PATCH ? HANDSOME JACK ? KING OF GLORY

? Horsham ? Race 8 ? 410m 5:47pm

Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538981/race/8

 

The Watchdog says ?: Fantastic line-up for a grade 5 final and it should be keenly contested throughout. KISS YOUR LIPS (1) was probably a tad disappointing when beaten in her heat, however from the good draw today, she can go one better. She is armed with blistering early speed and she has some scorching provincial wins to her credit, so if she can hold the top through the bend, there should be some bunching behind and that will allow her to zip away in the middle stages. KING OF GLORY (8) was another who was beaten in his heat; however, he exited the red draw on that occasion, and he never really looked comfortable until he got out wide and into some open space. With keen railer HANDSOME JACK (7) drawn directly on his inside, the ‘King’ should get plenty of room to balance up and he has unrivalled speed from the 70m to 200m mark, so with an ounce of luck through the bend, he should hit the scoreboard. PIRATES PATCH (2) is a prolific winner and she is racing with extreme confidence, however the concern today is the pace she has drawn on either side. Her box manners can let her down at times and with speed on either side, she may get crowded initially. TYPHOON BOLT (3) and HANDSOME JACK (7) round out the leading chances, ‘Jack’ is desperate to get across early, however he has won five of 11 from this draw and he is normally very reliable at box rise, whilst the ‘Typhoon’ has been impressive since resuming and he is now at peak fitness.

Selections:  8 – 1 – 7 – 3

? THE WATCHDOG’S $10 INVESTMENT ?
? Tuesday 21 September

? $3 Multi

 

First ?: Place – PAINT PEELER
? Healesville ? Race 6 ? Box 2 ? 350m ⏱ 12:27pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.70 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538980/race/6

 

Second ?: Win – ANITA SONIC LOVE
? Healesville ? Race 7 ? Box 6 ? 300m ⏱ 12:43pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.33 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538980/race/7

 

The Watchdog says ? : PAINT PEELER (2) goes well at ‘the Ville’ and she is a mad railer. She comes into this fresh and is normally very strong in the run home, so with an ounce of luck early, she can hit the scoreboard. ANITA SONIC LOVE (6) has been brilliant since resuming and is expected to lead throughout today.

Multi price: $2.26

? $1 Place – TALTARNI BLACK       ? Lucky Longshot ?
? Horsham ? Race 6 ? Box 4 ? 410m 5:09pm
TAB fixed odds: $7 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538981/race/6


The Watchdog says
? : He relies on a lot of luck in his races, but he is quite powerful, and I am expecting there to be several runners vying for the early lead. He should be able to take a nice sit and then take advantage when they bump through the turn. The long run home is a big advantage, and he represents great value today.

? $2 Multi


First
?: Place – YEAH EASY
? Geelong ? Race 8 ? Box 8 ? 460m ⏱ 5:40pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.40 Place (Top two finish required)
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/697702122/race/8

 

Second ?: Win – DAYLEN BALE
? Horsham ? Race 10 ? Box 8 ? 410m ⏱ 6:22pm
TAB fixed odds: $2.10 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538981/race/10

 

Third ?: Win – CRACKERJACK ZAVE
? Horsham ? Race 10 ? Box 2 ? 410m ⏱ 6:42pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.55 Win
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538981/race/11

 

The Watchdog says ? : YEAH EASY (8) has been racing with confidence and looks very well graded today. DAYLEN BALE (8) showed plenty of promise in his first prep and is expected to fire fresh. He has a great turn of foot and can stay wide in his races. CRACKERJACK ZAVE (2) is airborne at present and he should be able to hold out BRAEMAR PRINCE (4) in the run to the first bend.

Multi price:
$4.56

? $1 Win – KISS YOUR LIPS
? $1 Win – KING OF GLORY
? Horsham ? Race 8 ? Boxes 1 & 8 ? 485m ⏱ 5:47pm  ? Must Watch Race ?
TAB fixed odds: $5 Win (Kiss Your Lips)
TAB fixed odds: $4.20 Win (King Of Glory)
Form ?  https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538981/race/8

 

The Watchdog says ? : KISS YOUR LIPS (1) should be able to hold the top early and she is very hard to get past when in the clear. KING OF GLORY (8) only looked comfortable in his heat when he got to the outside and into some clear running. He has amazing mid race pace and with an ounce of luck, he can figure prominently.

? $2 Multi

 

First ?: Place – PERFECT COLOUR
? Warragul ? Race 8 ? Box 4 ? 460m ⏱ 9:05pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538982/race/8

 

Second ?: Place – SITIZANO ROCKS
? Warragul ? Race 9 ? Box 6 ? 460m ⏱ 9:25pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.50 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538982/race/9

 

Third ?: Place – ODA MAY
? Warragul ? Race 10 ? Box 1 ? 400m ⏱ 9:45pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.30 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538977/race/10

 

Fourth ?: Place – FLYWHEEL BELLA
? Warragul ? Race 11 ? Box 4 ? 460m ⏱ 10:09pm
TAB fixed odds: $1.35 Place
Form ? https://watchdog.grv.org.au/meeting/666538982/race/11


The Watchdog says ? : PERFECT COLOUR (4) was a tad unlucky in his heat and he can go with SWEET PETIT (3) for most of the journey. SITIZANO ROCKS (6) is very well graded and just needs a little bit of luck in the middle stages. ODA MAY (1) was big here last time out and she is drawn to get all the breaks, whilst FLYWHEEL BELLA (4) will appreciate the drop in class, and she will be on the pace from the outset.

Multi price: $3.55

? RECENT $10 INVESTMENTS ?

Monday 20 September: $5 return (-50%)
Sunday 19 September: $9 return (-10%)
Saturday 18 September: $6 (-40%)
Friday 17 September: $3.30 (-67%)
Thursday 16 September: $4.40 (-56%)
Wednesday 15 September: $7.20 (-28%)
Tuesday 14 September: $0 (-100%)


Past 7 days: $34.90 for $70 invested (-50%)
Past 14 days: $62.41 for $140 Invested (-55%)
Past 28 days: $165.24 for $280 Invested (-41%)

 

? MONTH x MONTH RECORD

August 2021: $262.63 for $310 (-15%)
July 2021: $309.18 for $300 (+3%)
June 2021: $324.38 for $300 (+8%)

NOTE: June was the first full-month of the new-look Daily Mail, in which The Watchdog has a $10 daily spend.

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